Bournemouth vs Brighton and Hove Albion: prediction & betting odds 13 September 2025

The Matchday 4 Premier League clash between Bournemouth and Brighton will be held on September 13 at Vitality Stadium. Bournemouth vs. Brighton: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Bournemouth

Andoni Iraola's side has collected 6 points after three rounds and sits in 7th place. Despite selling all their leading defenders, the team has looked impressive at the start of the season. In the first round, the club lost away to Liverpool (2-4), and then secured identical 1-0 victories over Wolverhampton and Tottenham.

  • The team's uncompromising streak in the league stands at 7 matches (4 wins and 3 losses).
  • No more than two goals have been scored in 7 of Bournemouth's last 10 Premier League matches.
  • The club has not scored more than 1 goal in 8 of their last 9 home Premier League matches.

Predicted lineup for Bournemouth (4-4-2)

Djorde Petrovic – Adam Smith, Marcos Senesi, Adrien Truffert, Bafode Diakite – Alex Scott, David Brooks, Marcus Tavernier, Tyler Adams – Antoine Semenyo, Evanilson.

Forward Enes Unal and midfielder Lewis Cook will miss the match due to injuries. Defender Adam Smith's participation is doubtful due to an injury.

Brighton

The team has had an uncertain start in the current Premier League. In the first round, Fabian Hurzeler's side drew 1-1 with Fulham at home, then lost 0-2 away to Everton. However, in their last match, the club transformed and defeated Manchester City 2-1 at their home ground. Notably, the loss to Liverpool is Brighton's only defeat in their last 8 Premier League matches (5 wins and 2 draws).

  • Both teams scored in 9 of the club's last 11 league games.
  • At least three goals were scored in 7 of Brighton's last 9 away Premier League matches.
  • The team has not lost in 9 of their last 13 away Premier League matches (5 wins and 4 draws).

Predicted lineup for Brighton (4-4-2)

Bart Verbruggen – Joel Veltman, Jan Paul van Hecke, Lewis Dunk, Maxim de Keijper – Kaoru Mitoma, Carlos Baleba, Jack Hinshelwood, Diego Gomez – Yankuba Minteh, Danny Welbeck.

Defenders Solly March and Adam Webster, as well as forward Julio Enciso, are out due to injuries.

Referee

Peter Bankes (England)

Matches – 26 (Premier League, 2024/25–2025/26);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 97;

Average yellow cards per match – 3.7;

Red cards shown – 2;

Average fouls per match – 20;

Penalties – 19%.

Bournemouth vs. Brighton: Match Prediction

Encounters between these opponents often result in high-scoring affairs and have never ended in a goalless draw since they started playing in the Premier League. At least three goals have been scored in the last four league meetings. At Vitality Stadium, such a number of goals have been scored in 3 of the last 4 Premier League encounters.

Bournemouth has scored in 6 of their last 7 home league games. Meanwhile, Fabian Hurzeler's squad has not left the field without scoring in 19 of their last 21 away Premier League matches. Additionally, at least 3 goals have been scored in 14 of Brighton's last 18 away Premier League games. Therefore, it's anticipated that the upcoming match will feature entertaining and high-scoring football.

My prediction – Total over 2.5 goals

Bournemouth — Brighton and Hove Albion betting tips 13 September 2025

In Matchweek 2, a South Coast derby on the English Channel awaits. Two ambitious sides meet with an eye on the UEFA Champions League places.

Bournemouth are adapting to life without a settled centre-back pairing and making it work: the squad sit seventh after three matches. Andoni Iraola has found a way to mask the defensive issues by leaning into front-foot football. Few expected such intent from Bournemouth against Tottenham Hotspur to begin with (1:0), yet for long spells Tottenham Hotspur barely registered. Francisco de Lima Barbosa scored inside five minutes, and he and his team-mates kept testing Guglielmo Vicario. The Italian goalkeeper produced an excellent save from Antoine Semenyo. It all translated into a clear margin: 1.59-0.19 in xG in AFC Bournemouth’s favour.

Brighton were equally impressive — the team beat Manchester City (2:1). Doing it at home is a touch easier, yet the off-field resources are barely comparable. Brighton played on level terms (2.30-1.82 in xG) with Manchester City, who started Rodrigo Hernández. However, Manchester City’s pressure yielded only an Erling Haaland goal. It was hard not to find a second for Brighton. The visitors set a very high defensive line with wide spacing in an attempt to dictate, and the gaps were there to be exploited. With fewer than 10 minutes left to see out the lead, the hosts saw it through.

This looks a genuine three-way. The opponents were evenly matched last season as well, although Brighton won both meetings (2:1). The attacking units still outstrip the defensive structures. Total Over 2.5 Goals is the call.

Betting prediction
Total Over 2.5
Cf
Odds
17/25
Bet now

Bournemouth vs Brighton and Hove Albion Odds

Current season

Logo AFC Bournemouth Logo Brighton & Hove Albion
2 Wins 1
1 Lost 1
0 Draws 1
1.33 GF per game 1
1.33 GA per game 1.33
7.67 Corners per game 3
2.67 Yellow cards per game 2.67

Premier League: previous matches in the tournament

Bournemouth
30.08.25
Tottenham Hotspur
Bournemouth
W
23.08.25
Bournemouth
Wolverhampton Wanderers
W
15.08.25
Liverpool
Bournemouth
L
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Brighton and Hove Albion
31.08.25
Brighton and Hove Albion
Manchester City
W
24.08.25
Everton
Brighton and Hove Albion
L
16.08.25
Brighton and Hove Albion
Fulham
D
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H2H: Bournemouth — Brighton and Hove Albion

Premier League 2024-2025
25.02.25
Brighton and Hove Albion
Bournemouth
23.11.24
Bournemouth
Brighton and Hove Albion
Premier League 2023-2024
28.04.24
Bournemouth
Brighton and Hove Albion
24.09.23
Brighton and Hove Albion
Bournemouth
Premier League 2022-2023
04.04.23
Bournemouth
Brighton and Hove Albion
04.02.23
Brighton and Hove Albion
Bournemouth
Premier League 2019-2020
21.01.20
Bournemouth
Brighton and Hove Albion
28.12.19
Brighton and Hove Albion
Bournemouth
Premier League 2018-2019
13.04.19
Brighton and Hove Albion
Bournemouth
22.12.18
Bournemouth
Brighton and Hove Albion
Premier League 2017-2018
01.01.18
Brighton and Hove Albion
Bournemouth
15.09.17
Bournemouth
Brighton and Hove Albion
More matches

Tables

Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Liverpool
3 3 0 0 8:4 9
2
Chelsea
3 2 1 0 7:1 7
3
Arsenal
3 2 0 1 6:1 6
4
Tottenham Hotspur
3 2 0 1 5:1 6
5
Everton
3 2 0 1 5:3 6
6
Sunderland
3 2 0 1 5:3 6
7
Bournemouth
3 2 0 1 4:4 6
8
Crystal Palace
3 1 2 0 4:1 5
9
Manchester United
3 1 1 1 4:4 4
10
Nottingham Forest
3 1 1 1 4:5 4
11
Brighton and Hove Albion
3 1 1 1 3:4 4
12
Leeds United
3 1 1 1 1:5 4
13
Manchester City
3 1 0 2 5:4 3
14
Burnley
3 1 0 2 4:6 3
15
Brentford
3 1 0 2 3:5 3
16
West Ham United
3 1 0 2 4:8 3
17
Newcastle United
3 0 2 1 2:3 2
18
Fulham
3 0 2 1 2:4 2
19
Aston Villa
3 0 1 2 0:4 1
20
Wolverhampton Wanderers
3 0 0 3 2:8 0
Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Liverpool
2 2 0 0 5:2 6
2
Sunderland
2 2 0 0 5:1 6
3
Chelsea
2 1 1 0 2:0 4
4
Brighton and Hove Albion
2 1 1 0 3:2 4
5
Leeds United
2 1 1 0 1:0 4
6
Arsenal
1 1 0 0 5:0 3
7
Tottenham Hotspur
2 1 0 1 3:1 3
8
Everton
1 1 0 0 2:0 3
9
Bournemouth
1 1 0 0 1:0 3
10
Manchester United
2 1 0 1 3:3 3
11
Nottingham Forest
2 1 0 1 3:4 3
12
Burnley
1 1 0 0 2:0 3
13
Brentford
1 1 0 0 1:0 3
14
Crystal Palace
1 0 1 0 1:1 1
15
Fulham
1 0 1 0 1:1 1
16
Aston Villa
2 0 1 1 0:3 1
17
Manchester City
1 0 0 1 0:2 0
18
West Ham United
1 0 0 1 1:5 0
19
Newcastle United
1 0 0 1 2:3 0
20
Wolverhampton Wanderers
2 0 0 2 2:7 0
Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Crystal Palace
2 1 1 0 3:0 4
2
Liverpool
1 1 0 0 3:2 3
3
Chelsea
1 1 0 0 5:1 3
4
Arsenal
2 1 0 1 1:1 3
5
Tottenham Hotspur
1 1 0 0 2:0 3
6
Everton
2 1 0 1 3:3 3
7
Bournemouth
2 1 0 1 3:4 3
8
Manchester City
2 1 0 1 5:2 3
9
West Ham United
2 1 0 1 3:3 3
10
Newcastle United
2 0 2 0 0:0 2
11
Manchester United
1 0 1 0 1:1 1
12
Nottingham Forest
1 0 1 0 1:1 1
13
Fulham
2 0 1 1 1:3 1
14
Sunderland
1 0 0 1 0:2 0
15
Brighton and Hove Albion
1 0 0 1 0:2 0
16
Leeds United
1 0 0 1 0:5 0
17
Burnley
2 0 0 2 2:6 0
18
Brentford
2 0 0 2 2:5 0
19
Aston Villa
1 0 0 1 0:1 0
20
Wolverhampton Wanderers
1 0 0 1 0:1 0

Team lineups

The line-ups will be known a few hours before kick-off
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